Feature
Log ReturnDaily log price change (BTC/USD). Mostly noise; included to give the model an autoregressive baseline.Current z-score · 365d window
-0.23σ
Within typical range.This is the exact same number shown on the heatmap cell — clicked through, it always matches.How this affects BTC price
Today's return is mostly noise day-to-day; the model uses it as a weak autoregressive baseline. Sustained strong returns can signal trend continuation but offer limited edge on their own.Note: these are historical tendencies, not guarantees. The model weighs this feature alongside ~20 others — read the SHAP attributions on the home page to see its actual pull on today's prediction.
History · 90d z-score series
2026-05-30 → 2026-07-01latest raw -0.01